The surge was driven by the turning off by Ukraine of the pipeline transiting gas through its territory, preliminary data shows
Deliveries of Russian natural gas via the TurkStream pipeline reached a historic high, according to data analyzed by Reuters, and it occurred when Kiev shut down transit of the fuel to EU countries via a pipeline that crosses Ukraine.
TurkStream is a crucial energy corridor, transporting gas from Russia to Türkiye under the Black Sea. Following Ukraine’s recent refusal to extend a five-year gas transit agreement with Moscow, the pipeline has become the sole route supplying Russian gas to southern and southeastern Europe, bypassing Ukraine.
Preliminary calculations released on Friday indicate that Russian gas supplies via the TurkStream conduit exceeded 50 million cubic meters per day in January 2025, marking a 27% year-on-year increase. Supply volumes also rose by 2% compared to the previous month. In total, gas exports via the pipeline reached 1.57 billion cubic meters (bcm) in January 2025, up from 1.24 bcm in January 2024.
Kiev decided at the end of 2024 to terminate its five-year gas transit contract with Russian energy giant Gazprom, cutting off Russian pipeline gas supplies to Hungary, Romania, Poland, Slovakia, Austria, Italy, and Moldova. The countries had already experienced a significant reduction in Russian gas imports due to Ukraine-related sanctions on Moscow and the 2022 sabotage of the Nord Stream pipeline, which was built to bypass Ukraine’s transit monopoly.
Ukrainian leader Vladimir Zelensky defended the decision, stating that the contract’s termination aimed to eliminate Moscow’s energy revenues. However, Slovakia and Hungary have accused him of deliberately triggering an energy crisis for political gain.
The TurkStream pipeline consists of two branches, one of them serving Ankara’s domestic needs, the other supplying gas to Bulgaria. This Balkan route extends to Serbia and Hungary, connecting other EU states to Russian natural gas supplies. The pipeline has an annual capacity of 15.75 bcm, according to Reuters.
Earlier this month, the Russian Defense Ministry reported that Ukraine had targeted a compressor station in Russia’s Krasnodar Region, which supplies gas to TurkStream. The attack, which involved nine kamikaze drones launched by Ukrainian forces, was largely thwarted, according to the ministry. One fixed-wing drone crashed close to a gas meter and caused minor damage, which was swiftly addressed by the facility’s personnel, it said.
Ankara later confirmed the attempted attack on the pipeline, asserting that gas flow through TurkStream remained uninterrupted despite the incident.
Officials in Moscow have accused Kiev of attempting to sabotage the energy link on multiple occasions in recent years. In response to the attack, Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov accused Ukraine of continuing with its policy of “energy terrorism.”
Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov suggested that Washington may have been involved in an attempt to sabotage the gas facility, stating, “I have a firm belief that the US wants no competitor in any fields, starting with energy.”
Despite the developments, Moscow has reiterated its commitment to maintaining stable gas supplies via TurkStream, ensuring continued energy security for the countries that depend on it.
